Ukraine has an opportunity to break the stasis in eastern Ukraine and enter a different chapter in the conflict. Ukraine’s counteroffensive pushed Russia back, recovering hundreds of square miles weekly.
Neither army has gained 100 square miles of territory in 8 months. Ukrainian attackers have been unable to take back more than 50 square miles each week, making it difficult for the other side to break through.
Ukraine has been unable to recapture all of its territory for 16 years, and the Americans have been hoping for an “overwhelming success”. The failure of the insurrection could lead to Prigozhin’s mutiny, which could break the camel’s back.